Domampot

Warnings, Domampot

Wind

7/20 4:51 AM 04:51 – 7/20 5:51 PM 17:51

Tropical Cyclone Alert : Tropical Depression Butchoy (FINAL) “BUTCHOY” IS NOW OUTSIDE THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR). Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 565 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR) (15.1, 114.7). Strength : Maximum winds of 55 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 70 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 10 kph Forecast position : Jul 20, 2024 08:00 PM - 735 km West of Iba, Zambales (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 21, 2024 08:00 AM - 835 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 21, 2024 08:00 PM - 960 km West of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 22, 2024 08:00 AM - 1,050 km West Northwest of Central Luzon (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 22, 2024 08:00 PM - 1,110 km West of Northern Luzon or in the vicinity of Lingshui, Hainan, China (OUTSIDE PAR) Jul 23, 2024 08:00 AM - 1,235 km West of Extreme Northern Luzon or in the vicinity of Qiongzhong, Hainan, China (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook BUTCHOY is unlikely to directly affect the country within the next three days. However, the Southwest Monsoon that it will enhance alongside Tropical Depression CARINA will bring moderate to heavy rains over the western portion of Luzon over the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 21 issued at 11:00 AM today. Severe Winds The Southwest Monsoon that will be enhanced by BUTCHOY and CARINA will bring gusty conditions over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): ·         Today and tomorrow (21 July): Kalayaan Islands Monday (22 July): CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Zambales, Bataan, and Metro Manila. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS In the next 24 hours, the Southwest Monsoon enhanced by BUTCHOY will bring slight to moderate seas (0.5-2.0 m) over the coastal waters of Ilocos Region, Zambales, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro, and the northern portion of Palawan including Calamian (west coast) and Kalayaan Islands. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK On the forecast track, BUTCHOY will move generally west northwestward today until tomorrow before turning more north northwestward beginning Monday (22 July).  BUTCHOY will likely have limited intensification within the next two days, but is forecast to reach tropical storm category by tomorrow. Rapid weakening is possible after its landfall over Hainan, China on Monday evening (22 July).

PAGASA

Wind

7/20 4:51 AM 04:51 – 7/20 5:51 PM 17:51

Tropical Cyclone Alert : Tropical Depression Carina “CARINA” MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH WHILE MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA. Location of eye/center : The center of the eye was estimated based on all available data at 510 km East Northeast of Virac, Catanduanes (15.3, 128.6). Strength : Maximum winds of 55 kph near the centerand gustiness of up to 70 kph. Forecast movement : Forecast to move West Northwestward at 30 kph Forecast position : Jul 20, 2024 08:00 PM - 605 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jul 21, 2024 08:00 AM - 500 km East of Casiguran, Aurora Jul 21, 2024 08:00 PM - 440 km East of Tuguegarao City, Cagayan Jul 22, 2024 08:00 AM - 410 km East of Aparri, Cagayan Jul 22, 2024 08:00 PM - 415 km East of Calayan, Cagayan Jul 23, 2024 08:00 AM - 360 km East of Basco, Batanes Jul 24, 2024 08:00 AM - 400 km Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes Jul 25, 2024 08:00 AM - 590 km North Northeast of Itbayat, Batanes (OUTSIDE PAR) HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS Heavy Rainfall Outlook Heavy rainfall directly caused by CARINA remains less likely over next three days. However, there may be changes in the current forecast scenario in the succeeding bulletins, which may affect the heavy rainfall outlook within the forecast period. The Southwest Monsoon that will be enhanced by BUTCHOY and CARINA will bring moderate to heavy rains over the western portion of Luzon over the next three days. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 21 issued at 11:00 AM today. Severe Winds Based on the latest forecast scenario, the hoisting of Wind Signal No. 1 over Extreme Northern Luzon and the eastern portion of Northern Luzon is not ruled out. The Southwest Monsoon that will be enhanced by BUTCHOY and CARINA will bring gusty conditions over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds): ·         Today and tomorrow (21 July): Kalayaan Islands Monday (22 July): CALABARZON, MIMAROPA, Bicol Region, Western Visayas, Zambales, Bataan, and Metro Manila. HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS CARINA and the Southwest Monsoon will bring moderate seas (1.0-2.0 m) over the coastal waters along the eastern seaboard of Mindanao. Mariners of motor bancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea. TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK CARINA is forecast to move generally northwestward until tomorrow while gradually decelerating. It is then forecast to turn generally northward on Monday before accelerating northward or north northwestward over the Philippine Sea towards the Ryukyu archipelago from Tuesday (23 July) onwards. In general, CARINA will generally have a mainly offshore path over the next five days and remain far from the Philippine landmass. CARINA is forecast to steadily intensify and reach tropical storm category within the next 12 to 24 hours. Beginning on Monday, the tropical cyclone will likely intensify further at a faster rate, eventually reaching typhoon category on Tuesday.

PAGASA

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